2026 Charles Schwab Challenge Picks: Golf Model With 17 Major Wins Reveals Surprising Predictions

The PGA Tour completes its Texas two-step this week with the 2026 Charles Schwab Challenge. Play tees off on Thursday from Colonial Country Club in Fort Worth, just 50 miles from where Wyndham Clark won the CJ Cup Byron Nelson last week. The 2023 U.S. Open champion is part of the Charles Schwab Challenge field, as are other major winners Justin Thomas, J.J. Spaun and Hideki Matsuyama. Yet, it's Ludvig Aberg, who has yet to collect a major victory, who tops the Charles Schwab Challenge 2026 odds board at +850.

Other golf contenders for PGA bets this week include Russell Henley (+1800), Thomas (+2200) and defending champion Ben Griffin (+2200). Clark is listed at +2700 to collect his second win in as many weeks as this week's golf field saw the likes of Scottie Scheffler and Jordan Spieth withdraw. Before locking in any 2026 Charles Schwab Challenge picks, or any PGA DFS picks or One and Done selections, be sure to see the 2026 Charles Schwab Challenge predictions and projected leaderboard from the proven computer model at SportsLine .

SportsLine's proprietary model, built by DFS pro Mike McClure, simulated every PGA Tour event 10,000 times and reveals  golf betting picks that have a history of being extremely profitable.

This same model has also nailed a whopping 17 majors entering the weekend, including the 2026 Masters -- its fifth Masters in a row -- as well as last year's PGA Championship and Open Championship. Anyone who has followed its sports betting picks could have seen massive returns on betting sites .

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Now that the 2026 Charles Schwab Challenge field is set, the model simulated the tournament 10,000 times, and the results were surprising. Head to SportsLine now to see the projected leaderboard , which you can use for PGA picks, one and done contests or PGA DFS lineups.

2026 Charles Schwab Challenge predictions

One major surprise the model is calling for at the Charles Schwab Challenge 2026: It is fading Ben Griffin (+2200), despite just three golfers having shorter odds and him being the defending champion. The advanced model says Griffin stumbles and falls to even crack the top 10 as those types of high finishes have been fleeting as of late. Griffin has just one top 10 across 14 starts at individual events this season, compared to four finishes 50th or worse. He also struggled at this event before last year's win, missing the cut in 2024 and placing 52nd in 2023. Given his short PGA odds, Griffin is one to steer clear of with Charles Schwab Challenge bets.  See who else to fade here .

Another surprise: The model is high on Akshay Bhatia, who makes a run for the title despite having +3300 odds. Amongst this week's field, Bhatia sits second in FedEx Cup rankings. Outside of the majors, he has top 25s in seven of his last eight events, with six of those placing him amongst the top 16. Also, Colonial Country Club is one of the shortest courses on tour, which mitigates Bhatia's weakness of lacking distance off the tee. He makes up for that by being arguably the best putter on tour, ranking in the top five in strokes gained: putting, birdie average and putting average.  See who else to pick here .

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How to make 2026 Charles Schwab Challenge picks

The model is also targeting two other longshots of at least +4000 who make runs up the Charles Schwab Challenge leaderboard.  You can only see the model's picks here .

Who will win the 2026 Charles Schwab Challenge, and which longshots will stun the golfing world? Check out the 2026 Charles Schwab Challenge odds below and then visit SportsLine to see the projected leaderboard, all from the model that's nailed 17 golf majors , including three in 2025.

2026 Charles Schwab Challenge odds, favorites

Get full 2026 Charles Schwab Challenge picks, best bets and predictions here . (odds via FanDuel and subject to change)

Ludvig Åberg +850 Russell Henley +1800 Justin Thomas +2200 Rickie Fowler +2200 Robert MacIntyre +2200 Ben Griffin +2200 Wyndham Clark +2700 J.J. Spaun +3000 Hideki Matsuyama +3000 Akshay Bhatia +3300 Keegan Bradley +3300 Keith Mitchell +3500 Harry Hall +4000 Alex Smalley +4000 Pierceson Coody +4000 Gary Woodland +4000 Bud Cauley +4500 Ryo Hisatsune +4500 Michael Thorbjornsen +4500 Sungjae Im +4500 Max Greyserman +5500 Mac Meissner +5500 Samuel Stevens +5500 Sahith Theegala +5500 Davis Thompson +6000 Richard Hoey +6500 Christiaan Bezuidenhout +6500 J.T. Poston +6500 Tony Finau +6500 Matt McCarty +6500 Brian Harman +6500 Stephan Jaeger +6500 Ryan Gerard +6500 Rasmus Højgaard +6500 Andrew Novak +7000 Sudarshan Yellamaraju +7000 Jordan Smith +7000 Taylor Moore +7000 Chris Kirk +8000 Thorbjørn Olesen +8000 Michael Brennan +8000 Haotong Li +10000 Steven Fisk +10000 Adrien Dumont de Chassart +10000 Ricky Castillo +10000 John Parry +10000 Zach Bauchou +10000 Austin Smotherman +10000 Mackenzie Hughes +10000 Michael Kim +10000 Seamus Power +10000 Tom Hoge +10000 Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen +10000 Andrew Putnam +10000 Max Homa +10000 Emiliano Grillo +10000 Doug Ghim +10000

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_Originally reported by [CBS Sports](https://www.cbssports.com/golf/news/2026-charles-schwab-challenge-odds-picks-predictions-golf-field/)._