2026 Memorial Tournament: Golf Model

The penultimate signature event of the PGA Tour schedule starts on Thursday with the 2026 Memorial Tournament. Scottie Scheffler is the two-time defending winner and leads a star-studded field that includes Ludvig Aberg, Jordan Spieth, Matt Fitzpatrick and Justin Thomas. Muirfield Village Golf Club in Columbus, Ohio, hosts the Memorial Tournament 2026, which will serve as the final tune-up to the U.S. Open for many.

In his attempt to become the first golfer to three-peat a single event since Steve Stricker in 2011, Scheffler is the +300 favorite. Rory McIlroy will tee off for the first time since a seventh-place finish at the PGA Tournament, and he's at +1000 in the Memorial Tournament odds. Other contenders include Cameron Young (+1600), Xander Schauffele (+1800), and Ben Griffin (+3000), who was runner-up to Scheffler last year. Before locking in any 2026 Memorial Tournament picks, or any PGA DFS picks or One and Done selections, be sure to see the 2026 Memorial Tournament predictions and projected leaderboard from the proven computer model at SportsLine .

SportsLine's proprietary model, built by DFS pro Mike McClure, simulated every PGA Tour event 10,000 times and reveals  golf betting picks that have a history of being extremely profitable.

This same model has also nailed a whopping 17 majors entering the weekend, including the 2026 Masters -- its fifth Masters in a row -- as well as last year's PGA Championship and Open Championship. Anyone who has followed its sports betting picks could have seen massive returns on betting sites .

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Now that the 2026 Memorial Tournament field is set, the model simulated the tournament 10,000 times, and the results were surprising. Head to SportsLine now to see the projected leaderboard , which you can use for PGA picks, one and done contests or PGA DFS lineups.

2026 Memorial Tournament predictions

One major surprise the model is calling for at the Memorial Tournament 2026: It is fading Cameron Young (+1600), despite there being just two golfers with shorter odds. The model says he stumbles and falls to even crack the top 5. Young's streak of seven straight top 25s ended at the PGA Championship, and he'll tee off for the first time since that tournament three weeks ago. The Memorial isn't the best tournament to welcome him back considering his history, as he's never cracked the top 20 of the leaderboard in four starts. He's broken par just once over his last 12 rounds at Muirfield Village, and given him having the third-shortest PGA odds, he's one to steer clear of with Memorial bets.  See who else to fade here .

Another surprise: The model is high on Russell Henley, despite him being a +3000 longshot. Henley just collected his sixth PGA victory on Sunday, winning a playoff over Eric Cole at the Charles Schwab Challenge. He has three other top 10s on the season, including at the Masters, and Cole impressed in his last visit to Muirfield. He placed fifth at this tournament in 2025 as his unparalleled precision off the tee makes him a great fit for this course. Muirfield is the fourth-longest course on the PGA Tour schedule, and Henley leads the tour in driving accuracy percentage. Thus, you can always count on Henley to put himself in a great second-shot position on the long fairways Muirfield offers.  See who else to pick here .

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How to make 2026 Memorial Tournament picks

The model is also targeting three other longshots of at least +3000 who make runs up the Memorial Tournament leaderboard.  You can only see the model's picks here .

Who will win the Memorial Tournament 2026, and which longshots will stun the golfing world? Check out the 2026 Memorial Tournament odds below and then visit SportsLine to see the projected leaderboard, all from the model that's nailed 17 golf majors , including three in 2025.

2026 Memorial Tournament odds, favorites

Get full 2026 Memorial Tournament picks, best bets and predictions here . (odds via FanDuel and subject to change)

Scottie Scheffler +300 Rory McIlroy +1000 Cameron Young +1600 Xander Schauffele +1800 Ludvig Åberg +1800 Matt Fitzpatrick +2200 Si Woo Kim +2200 Russell Henley +3000 Tommy Fleetwood +3000 Patrick Cantlay +3000 Ben Griffin +3300 Robert MacIntyre +4000 Sam Burns +4000 Min Woo Lee +4000 Rickie Fowler +4500 Justin Thomas +4500 Hideki Matsuyama +4500 Maverick McNealy +5000 Jordan Spieth +5500 J.J. Spaun +5500 Chris Gotterup +6000 Harris English +6000 Adam Scott +6000 Nicolai Højgaard +6000 Jake Knapp +6500 Alex Smalley +6500 Justin Rose +6500 Kurt Kitayama +6500 Sepp Straka +7000 Shane Lowry +8000 Jason Day +8000 Aaron Rai +8000 Akshay Bhatia +8000 Wyndham Clark +8000 Sahith Theegala +10000 Keegan Bradley +10000 Jacob Bridgeman +10000 Harry Hall +10000 Kristoffer Reitan +10000 Alex Noren +10000 Gary Woodland +10000 Corey Conners +10000 Pierceson Coody +10000 Ryo Hisatsune +10000 Samuel Stevens +10000 J.T. Poston +10000 Nick Taylor +10000 Mac Meissner +12500 Sungjae Im +12500 Daniel Berger +12500 Ryan Gerard +12500 Brian Harman +15000 Ryan Fox +15000 Bud Cauley +15000 Alex Fitzpatrick +15000 Eric Cole +15000 Denny McCarthy +15000 Tony Finau +17500 Taylor Pendrith +17500 Michael Kim +17500 Andrew Novak +17500 Matt McCarty +17500 Patrick Rodgers +22500 Billy Horschel +35000 Nico Echavarria +35000 Lucas Glover +50000 Jhonattan Vegas +50000 Tom Hoge +50000 Brandt Snedeker +50000 Matt Kuchar +75000 Mark Hubbard +100000 Brian Campbell +100000

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_Originally reported by [CBS Sports](https://www.cbssports.com/golf/news/2026-memorial-tournament-odds-picks-predictions/)._