2026 PGA Championship: Golf Model

2026 PGA Championship odds, picks: Surprising predictions from golf model that's nailed 17 majors

SportsLine's model simulated the PGA Championship 2026 10,000 times and revealed surprising picks

By Daniel Lewis

May 13, 2026 at 11:27 am ET • 4 min read

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The PGA Championship 2026 is just one day away, as golf's second major tees off on Thursday, May 14, at 6:45 a.m. ET from Aronimink Golf Club in Newtown Square, Pa. Scottie Scheffler is the defending PGA Championship winner after he prevailed by five strokes at Quail Hollow last year. The latest 2026 PGA Championship odds via FanDuel list Scheffler as the +480 favorite (risk $100 to win $480), with back-to-back Masters winner Rory McIlroy (+950) and Cameron Young (+1200) among the other 2026 PGA Championship contenders.

Jon Rahm (+1500), Ludvig Aberg (+1600) and Xander Schauffele (+1800) are among the other PGA Championship 2026 favorites. Brooks Koepka, looking to become the fourth golfer to ever win at least four PGA Championships, is at +3500. Before locking in any 2026 PGA Championship picks, or making any PGA Championship DFS picks or One and Done predictions, be sure to see the 2026 PGA Championship predictions and projected leaderboard from the proven computer model at SportsLine .

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SportsLine's proprietary model, built by DFS pro Mike McClure, simulated every PGA Tour event 10,000 times and reveals  golf betting picks that have a history of being extremely profitable.

This same model has also nailed a whopping 17 majors entering the weekend, including the 2026 Masters -- its fifth Masters in a row -- as well as last year's PGA Championship and Open Championship. Anyone who has followed its sports betting picks could have seen massive returns on betting sites .

Now that the 2026 PGA Championship field locked in, the model simulated the tournament 10,000 times, and the results were surprising. Head to SportsLine now to see the projected leaderboard , which you can use for PGA picks, one and done contests or PGA DFS lineups.

2026 PGA Championship predictions

One major surprise the model is calling for at the PGA Championship 2026: It projects that Bryson DeChambeau barely cracks the top 10 despite the fact that he was a runner-up in this event the past two years. DeChambeau missed the cut at the 2026 Masters and then had to withdraw from LIV Golf Mexico City with wrist discomfort in April. He has recorded three straight top-five finishes at the PGA Championship, but has also missed the cut twice and finished outside the top 30 two other times at this event.  See who else to fade here .

Another surprise: The model projects a strong showing from Tommy Fleetwood, who has longer odds at +2500. The 2025 Tour Championship winner is still looking for his first major win. He's in strong form this season, however, recording five top-10 finishes. He was contending for another top-10 at the Masters this year before a fourth-round 76 dropped him down the leaderboard. Fleetwood has strong metrics off the tee this year, but has struggled with his putting, so if he can have a better weekend on the greens, he has a great shot to be a contender.  See who else to pick here .

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How to make 2026 PGA Championship picks

The model is also targeting several other longshots, including one going off around 60-1 who makes a stunning run for the title.  You can only see the model's picks here .

Who will win the 2026 PGA Championship, and which longshots will stun the golfing world? Check out the 2026 PGA Championship odds below and then visit SportsLine to see the projected leaderboard, all from the model that's nailed 17 golf majors , including three in 2025.

2026 PGA Championship odds, favorites

Get full 2026 PGA Championship picks, best bets and predictions here . (odds via FanDuel and subject to change)

Scottie Scheffler +480 Rory McIlroy +950 Cameron Young +1200 Jon Rahm +1500 Ludvig Åberg +1600 Xander Schauffele +1800 Matt Fitzpatrick +2200 Bryson DeChambeau +2200 Tommy Fleetwood +2500 Brooks Koepka +3500 Collin Morikawa +4000 Patrick Cantlay +4000 Justin Rose +4500 Rickie Fowler +5000 Min Woo Lee +5500 Justin Thomas +5500 Jordan Spieth +5500 Sam Burns +5500 Russell Henley +5000 Chris Gotterup +5500 Viktor Hovland +5500 Adam Scott +6000 Si Woo Kim +6500 Nicolai Højgaard +6000 J.J. Spaun +6000 Tyrrell Hatton +6000 Robert MacIntyre +7000 Patrick Reed +8000 Hideki Matsuyama +8000 Kurt Kitayama +8000 Maverick McNealy +8000 Sepp Straka +8000 Shane Lowry +10000 Joaquin Niemann +10000 Kristoffer Reitan +10000 Harris English +10000 Akshay Bhatia +10000 Ben Griffin +10000 Thomas Detry +10000 Alex Fitzpatrick +10000 Keegan Bradley +10000 Alex Smalley +10000 Jason Day +15000 Gary Woodland +12500 Matt McCarty +12500 David Puig +12500 Jacob Bridgeman +12500 Harry Hall +15000 Alex Noren +15000 Pierceson Coody +15000 Michael Thorbjornsen +15000 Sungjae Im +17500 Sahith Theegala +17500 Ryan Gerard +17500 Keith Mitchell +17500 Aaron Rai +17500 Nick Taylor +17500 Wyndham Clark +17500 Marco Penge +17500 Rasmus Højgaard +17500 Corey Conners +17500 Haotong Li +22500 Samuel Stevens +22500 Ryo Hisatsune +22500 Max Homa +22500 Daniel Berger +22500 Brian Harman +22500 Sudarshan Yellamaraju +22500 Taylor Pendrith +25000 Ricky Castillo +25000 Dustin Johnson +25000 Jordan Smith +25000 Bud Cauley +25000 Matt Wallace +25000 Michael Brennan +25000 Tom McKibbin +35000 Ryan Fox +35000 Angel Ayora +35000 Christiaan Bezuidenhout +35000 Andrew Novak +35000 Stewart Cink +35000 J.T. Poston +35000 Cameron Smith +35000 Andrew Putnam +50000 Daniel Hillier +50000 Jayden Schaper +50000 Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen +50000 Bernd Wiesberger +50000 Denny McCarthy +50000 Aldrich Potgieter +50000 Casey Jarvis +50000 Steven Fisk +50000 Richard Hoey +50000 Lucas Glover +50000 Max Greyserman +50000 Michael Kim +50000 Patrick Rodgers +50000 Max McGreevy +50000 Austin Smotherman +50000 Mikael Lindberg +50000 Nico Echavarria +50000 Stephan Jaeger +75000 Sami Valimaki +75000 Chris Kirk +75000 Billy Horschel +75000 John Parry +75000 Garrick Higgo +75000 Matti Schmid +75000 Ian Holt +100000 Tom Hoge +100000 Jimmy Walker +100000 Braden Shattuck +100000 Bryce Fisher +100000 Jhonattan Vegas +100000 Michael Block +100000 Y.E. Yang +100000 Luke Donald +100000 Johnny Keefer +100000 Ben Kern +100000 Elvis Smylie +100000 Timothy Wiseman +100000 Jared Jones +100000 Paul McClure +100000 Derek Berg +100000 Garrett Sapp +100000 Ryan Vermeer +100000 Dan Brown +100000 Adam Schenk +100000 Francisco Bidé +100000 Austin Hurt +100000 Padraig Harrington +100000 Adrien Saddier +100000 Emiliano Grillo +100000 Martin Kaymer +100000 Kota Kaneko +100000 Ben Polland +100000 Brian Campbell +100000 Shaun Micheel +100000 Jason Dufner +100000 Jordan Gumberg +100000 David Lipsky +100000 William Mouw +100000 Michael Kartrude +100000 Joe Highsmith +100000 Mark Geddes +100000 Davis Riley +100000 Tyler Collet +100000 Chris Gabriele +100000 Andy Sullivan +100000 Zach Haynes +100000 Travis Smyth +100000 Ryan Lenahan +100000 Kazuki Higa +100000 Chandler Blanchet +100000 Jesse Droemer +100000 Brandt Snedeker +100000

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_Originally reported by [CBS Sports](https://www.cbssports.com/golf/news/2026-pga-championship-odds-start-date-field-course-picks-computer-predictions-bets/)._