2026 PGA Championship: Surprising Picks from Model With 17 Major Wins

2026 PGA Championship odds, picks: Surprising predictions from golf model that's nailed 17 majors

SportsLine's model simulated the PGA Championship 2026 10,000 times and revealed surprising picks

By Daniel Lewis

May 13, 2026 at 8:15 pm ET • 3 min read

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The PGA Championship 2026 is just one day away, as golf's second major tees off on Thursday, May 14, at 6:45 a.m. ET from Aronimink Golf Club in Newtown Square, Pa. Scottie Scheffler is the defending PGA Championship winner after he prevailed by five strokes at Quail Hollow last year. The latest 2026 PGA Championship odds via FanDuel list Scheffler as the +390 favorite (risk $100 to win $390), with back-to-back Masters winner Rory McIlroy (+950) and Cameron Young (+1200) among the other 2026 PGA Championship contenders.

Jon Rahm (+1500), Ludvig Aberg (+1800), Xander Schauffele (+1800) and Bryson DeChambeau (+2000) are among the other PGA Championship 2026 favorites. Before locking in any 2026 PGA Championship picks, or making any PGA Championship DFS picks or One and Done predictions, be sure to see the 2026 PGA Championship predictions and projected leaderboard from the proven computer model at SportsLine .

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SportsLine's proprietary model, built by DFS pro Mike McClure, simulated every PGA Tour event 10,000 times and reveals  golf betting picks that have a history of being extremely profitable.

This same model has also nailed a whopping 17 majors entering the weekend, including the 2026 Masters -- its fifth Masters in a row -- as well as last year's PGA Championship and Open Championship. Anyone who has followed its sports betting picks could have seen massive returns on betting sites .

Now that the 2026 PGA Championship field locked in, the model simulated the tournament 10,000 times, and the results were surprising. Head to SportsLine now to see the projected leaderboard , which you can use for PGA picks, one and done contests or PGA DFS lineups.

2026 PGA Championship predictions

One major surprise the model is calling for at the PGA Championship 2026: It projects that DeChambeau barely cracks the top 10 despite the fact that he was a runner-up in this event the past two years and is one of the favorites at +2000. DeChambeau missed the cut at the 2026 Masters and then had to withdraw from LIV Golf Mexico City with wrist discomfort in April. He has recorded three straight top-five finishes at the PGA Championship, but has also missed the cut twice and finished outside the top 30 two other times at this event.  See who else to fade here .

Another surprise: The model projects a strong showing from Tommy Fleetwood, who has longer odds at +2500. The 2025 Tour Championship winner is still looking for his first major win. He's in strong form this season, however, recording five top-10 finishes. He was contending for another top-10 at the Masters this year before a fourth-round 76 dropped him down the leaderboard. Fleetwood has strong metrics off the tee this year, but has struggled with his putting, so if he can have a better weekend on the greens, he has a great shot to be a contender.  See who else to pick here .

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How to make 2026 PGA Championship picks

The model is also targeting several other longshots, including one going off around 60-1 who makes a stunning run for the title.  You can only see the model's picks here .

Who will win the 2026 PGA Championship, and which longshots will stun the golfing world? Check out the 2026 PGA Championship odds below and then visit SportsLine to see the projected leaderboard, all from the model that's nailed 17 golf majors , including three in 2025.

2026 PGA Championship odds, favorites

Get full 2026 PGA Championship picks, best bets and predictions here . (odds via FanDuel and subject to change)

Scottie Scheffler +390 Rory McIlroy +950 Cameron Young +1200 Jon Rahm +1500 Xander Schauffele +1800 Ludvig Åberg +1800 Bryson DeChambeau +2000 Matt Fitzpatrick +2500 Tommy Fleetwood +2500 Collin Morikawa +4000 Patrick Cantlay +4000 Brooks Koepka +4000 Nicolai Højgaard +4500 Min Woo Lee +5000 Chris Gotterup +5000 Justin Rose +5000 Rickie Fowler +5000 Si Woo Kim +5500 Jordan Spieth +5500 Sam Burns +5500 Justin Thomas +5500 Russell Henley +5500 Adam Scott +6000 Viktor Hovland +6000 Tyrrell Hatton +6000 J.J. Spaun +6500 Patrick Reed +8000 Kurt Kitayama +8000 Maverick McNealy +8000 Robert MacIntyre +8000 Sepp Straka +8000 Joaquin Niemann +10000 Hideki Matsuyama +10000 Kristoffer Reitan +10000 Harris English +10000 Akshay Bhatia +10000 Ben Griffin +10000 Matt McCarty +10000 Thomas Detry +10000 Alex Fitzpatrick +10000 Shane Lowry +10000 Keegan Bradley +10000

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_Originally reported by [CBS Sports](https://www.cbssports.com/golf/news/2026-pga-championship-odds-start-date-field-picks-golf-predictions-best-bets/)._