Falcons vs. Packers: Week 3 Thursday Night Football Predictions and Odds

The Green Bay Packers open their home schedule with a key NFC matchup against the Atlanta Falcons on 'Thursday Night Football.' Green Bay is coming off a 20-17 overtime win over the New York Jets, while Atlanta dropped a 34-3 decision to Carolina on Sunday. The Falcons (0-2), which finished in a three-way tie for first in the NFC South at 8-9 a year ago, are 4-6 on the road since last September. The Packers (1-1), who finished second in the NFC North at 9-7-1, were 5-3 on their home field in 2025. Michael Penix Jr. will get the start for Atlanta at quarterback.  Claim the latest Polymarket promo code CBSSPORTS to get a $50 bonus after $10 in trades :

Kickoff is set for 8:15 p.m. ET from Lambeau Field in Green Bay, Wis. The latest Falcons vs. Packers odds have Green Bay as a 6.5-point favorite, while the over/under for total points scored is 44.5. Before making any Falcons vs. Packers picks or 'Thursday Night Football' predictions, be sure to  see what the SportsLine projection model has to say .

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up well over $7,000 for $100 players on  betting sites  on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model entered Week 3 of the 2026 NFL season on a 53-41 run on top-rated picks dating back to 2024. Anybody following its picks at  NFL betting sites  could have seen strong returns.

Now, the model has zoned in on Falcons vs. Packers . You can head to SportsLine now to see its picks . Here are several NFL odds and betting lines for Packers vs. Falcons:

Falcons vs. Packers spread

Green Bay -6.5

Falcons vs. Packers over/under

44.5 points

Falcons vs. Packers money line

Green Bay -283, Atlanta +229

Falcons vs. Packers picks

See picks at SportsLine

Falcons vs. Packers streaming

Amazon Prime

New to sports trading? Visit our  Kalshi promo code  review and  get a $55 bonus after $25+ in trades with the Kalshi promo code CBSSPORTS55 :

Top Falcons vs. Packers predictions

After 10,000 simulations of Falcons vs. Packers, the model is  going Over 44.5 points at betting apps . The Packers and Falcons have had no problem putting up points against one another. In the last 10 head-to-head meetings, the Over has gone 7-3. The Over has also hit in six of Green Bay's past 10 games, including two of its last three games.

Running back Bijan Robinson powers the Atlanta rushing attack. Through two games, he leads the Falcons with 155 yards rushing on 37 carries, including a long of 20 yards. Green Bay, meanwhile, is led by quarterback Jordan Love, who has thrown for 532 yards and four touchdowns with just one interception. The model projects 49 combined points, giving value to the Over in 55% of simulations.  See which team to back at SportsLine .

How to make 'Thursday Night Football' picks

In addition to going Over, the model also says one side of the spread is hitting in well over 50% of simulations. See what it is at SportsLine .

Who covers in Packers vs. Falcons, and which side of the spread hits well over 50% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Falcons vs. Packers spread you need to jump, all from the model that's on a 53-41 run on top-rated picks since 2024 , and find out.

Add CBS Sports on Google Join the Conversation comments

_Originally reported by [CBS Sports](https://www.cbssports.com/betting/news/falcons-packers-predictions-odds-time-week-3-thursday-night-football-picks/)._