Cowboys vs. Buccaneers: Expert

The Week 5 NFL schedule kicks off with a 'Thursday Night Football' matchup between NFC squads as the Dallas Cowboys host the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Dallas moved to 2-2 with a victory over Houston in Week 4. The Bucs remain winless after falling to the Packers in Week 4 without quarterback Baker Mayfield (thumb). Mayfield is expected to remain out this week, giving rookie Jalon Daniels a second start.  Visit our  Kalshi promo code  review and  get a $55 bonus after $25+ in trades with the Kalshi promo code CBSSPORTS55 :

Kickoff is set for 8:15 p.m. ET from AT&T Stadium. Dallas is a 9.5-point favorite in the latest Cowboys vs. Buccaneers odds, while the over/under is 47.5. Before making Cowboys vs. Buccaneers picks or 'Thursday Night Football' predictions, be sure to  see what the SportsLine projection model has to say .

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up well over $7,000 for $100 players on  betting sites  on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model entered Week 5 of the 2026 NFL season on a 55-44 run on top-rated picks dating back to 2024. Anybody following its picks at  NFL betting sites  could have seen strong returns.

Now, the model has zoned in on Cowboys vs. Bucs .  You can head to SportsLine now to see its picks . Here are several NFL odds and betting lines for Bucs vs. Cowboys:

Cowboys vs. Buccaneers spread

Cowboys -9.5

Cowboys vs. Buccaneers over/under

47.5 points

Cowboys vs. Buccaneers money line

Cowboys -481, Bucaneers +385

Cowboys vs. Buccaneers picks

See picks at SportsLine

Cowboys vs. Buccaneers streaming

Amazon Prime

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Top Cowboys vs. Buccaneers predictions

After 10,000 simulations of Bucs vs. Cowboys, the model is  going Over 47.5 points at betting apps . Dallas ranks 29th in the NFL in scoring defense and last in yards allowed per play. Tampa Bay's numbers are a bit better, but the Bucs still rank in the bottom half of the league in many key defensive categories.

Tampa Bay has split its four games Over and Under, but Dalls is 4-0 to the Over, creating a strong trend to lean on. The model projects 56 combined points in this matchup as the Over hits 70% of the time.  See which team to back at SportsLine .

How to make 'Thursday Night Football' picks

In addition to going Over, the model also says one side of the spread hits more than 50% of the time. See what it is at SportsLine .

Who covers in Bucs vs. Cowboys, and which side of the spread hits more than 50% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Cowboys vs. Bucs spread you need to jump, all from the model that's on a 55-44 run on top-rated picks since 2024 , and find out.

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_Originally reported by [CBS Sports](https://www.cbssports.com/betting/news/cowboys-buccaneers-predictions-odds-time-week-5-thursday-night-football-picks/)._